By Yiping Huang, Jian Chang, Steven Lingxiu Yang
Barclays' past the Miracle sequence rigorously analyzes the transition that China is present process from a variety of views, and likewise discusses the commercial and fiscal marketplace implications. It argues that China will effectively make the transition from ‘economic miracle’ to general improvement within the subsequent decade. yet there's an enormous caveat: China needs to embark on a multi-pronged set of reforms if the rustic is to maneuver to a slower, extra sustainable development cost that deemphasizes exchange, development and funding and in its place locations a better weight on patron spending as a resource of development.
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Additional resources for China: Beyond the Miracle (The Complete Series)
Interest rate liberalisation should be coordinated with capital market reforms.
15 Yiping Huang and Kunyu Tao, “Factor market distortion and the current account surplus in China”, Asian Economic Papers, 2010, 9(3): 1-36. 16 Nick R. Lardy, “China’s unfinished revolution”, Brookings Institution, Washington DC, 1998. March 2013 39 Barclays | China: Beyond the Miracle But we think more fundamental changes may take place relatively soon in the Chinese financial industry for a number of reasons. First, many of the repressive financial policies are no longer sustainable. For instance, China used to rely on capital account controls to shield domestic financial institutions from external shocks.
In fact, the tension between the rich and the poor in Chinese society is already quite high. This is, perhaps, most clearly seen on internet forums, where the wealthy and government officials are targets for criticism. Why the next five years might be different The 11th FYP delivered some impressive results, such as continued strong economic growth at the time of GFC. However, it failed to achieve the policy objective of changing the growth model. Of the four rebalancing indicators listed by the Program, only one – reduction of energy intensity of GDP by 20% – was achieved.
China: Beyond the Miracle (The Complete Series) by Yiping Huang, Jian Chang, Steven Lingxiu Yang